Research

Research Squeeze Seasonality: The Best and Worst Months in 22 Years of Trades We grouped 10,574 daily squeeze trades by entry month across 22 years. November won 73.7% at +2.51% per trade, September was weakest at 61.6%, and the winter window stands out clearly. Read → Research Inside 10,515 Squeeze Trades: What Happens Between Entry and Exit The anatomy of 10,515 daily squeeze trades: the average trade saw +5.4% but closed +0.8%, 90% of losers were green at some point, and winners resolved 65% faster than losers. Read → Research Slingshot Squeeze vs Squeeze Signal: 10,515 Trades, Head to Head We put our two daily triggers head to head across 22 years: Slingshot Squeeze 68.4% of 6,008 trades vs Squeeze Signal 67.4% of 4,507, with era-by-era consistency tables. Read → Research Does Squeeze Tightness Matter? Yellow vs Red vs Black Dots, 4,509 Trades The tightest squeezes won least often but paid twice as much per trade. We split 4,509 daily long trades by compression tier: yellow, red, and black dots each tell a different risk story. Read → Research The Short Side: Why We Are Long-Biased Key takeaways The short Slingshot Squeeze won 60.3% of the time, yet its expectancy was about -2.0% per trade. It loses money despite winning… Read → Research Do Our Squeeze Dots Match ThinkorSwim? An Honest Accuracy Note Key takeaways Our squeeze dots use the same standard math as ThinkorSwim: a Bollinger Band reading sitting inside a Keltner Channel. When that is… Read → Research Squeeze Expectancy by Timeframe: 5-Minute to Weekly Key takeaways: Across our 22-year backtest, the daily Slingshot Squeeze is the strongest timeframe at +0.93% expectancy per trade. The higher intraday timeframes (4h,… Read → Research The Squeeze Edge Held in Every Era (2004 to Today) Key takeaways: Across five market eras from 2004 to 2026, the daily Slingshot Squeeze won 66.8% to 70.9% of trades and the daily Squeeze… Read → Research Backtesting the Squeeze: 22 Years, Per Symbol Key takeaways We backtest every one of our 614 stocks on its own daily history, 2004 to 2026, with one fixed rule set: enter… Read → Research The Runner Finding: Most Big Moves Never Pull Back Across 22 years, 46% of squeeze trades that ran 1.6 ATR never pulled back to entry. Why most big moves leave without you, in 614 stocks of data. Read →